Click here to download

Using Stated Preferences to Forecast the Market Diffusion of Alternative Fuel Vehicles
Author/s: Jérome Massiani 
Year:  2012 Issue: Language: English 
Pages:  29 Pg. 93-121 FullText PDF:  995 KB
DOI:  10.3280/SCRE2012-003006
(DOI is like a bar code for intellectual property: to have more infomation:  clicca qui   and here 

Together with Bass diffusion and, to a lesser extent, Total Cost of Ownership, Stated Preferences are the most popular method used to forecast the future diffusion of electric and alternative fuel vehicles. In this paper, we analyse the merits and limitations of SP compared with other methods. We also review the empirical results provided by SP surveys, and assess their validity for modelling market diffusion. We also propose a metaanalysis- based Synthetic Utility Function that consolidates results across various studies and can be used for simulation purposes in a Discrete Choice Model setting. This approach makes simulation results less dependent on the idiosyncrasies of individual surveys, and is therefore helpful for formulating robust policy recommendations.
Keywords: Stated preferences, alternative fuel vehicle, market diffusion
Jel Code: C53, O33

Jérome Massiani, in "SCIENZE REGIONALI " 3/2012, pp. 93-121, DOI:10.3280/SCRE2012-003006


FrancoAngeli is a member of Publishers International Linking Association a not for profit orgasnization wich runs the CrossRef service, enabing links to and from online scholarly content