Uno studio sulle presidenziali americane: l’economia conta?
Journal title HISTORIA MAGISTRA
Author/s Marco Morini
Publishing Year 2012 Issue 2012/9 Language Italian
Pages 15 P. 41-55 File size 164 KB
DOI 10.3280/HM2012-009005
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The economy matters. This is one of the dogmas taught us by those who have studied the history of the American presidential elections. But is this collective perception of the influence of economic data on individual electoral behaviour confirmed by statistical analysis of the history of presidential elections? This study shows that the most commonly used economic indicators are poor predictors of election outcomes, and also that variation in the approval rating of the incumbent president is a variable independent from the real economic data.
Keywords: American politics, American history, political behaviour, American presidential elections, political history, economic statistics.
Marco Morini, Uno studio sulle presidenziali americane: l’economia conta? in "HISTORIA MAGISTRA" 9/2012, pp 41-55, DOI: 10.3280/HM2012-009005